NAIVE BAYES ALGORITHM FROM SCRATCH

In our previous Machine Learning From Scratch series, we have covered Linear Regression and Logistic Regression. Today, we will be covering all details about Naive Bayes Algorithm from scratch. 

Naive Bayes is a classification algorithm based on the “Bayes Theorem”. So let’s get introduced to the Bayes Theorem first.

Bayes Theorem is used to find the probability of an event occurring given the probability of another event that has already occurred. Here B is the evidence and A is the hypothesis. Here P(A) is known as prior, P(A/B) is posterior, and P(B/A) is the likelihood.

NAIVE BAYES ALGORITHM

The name Naive is used because the presence of one independent feature doesn’t affect (influence or change the value of) other features. The most important assumption that Naive Bayes makes is that all the features are independent of each other. Being less prone to overfitting, Naive Bayes algorithm works on Bayes theorem to predict unknown data sets.

EXAMPLE:

AGE	INCOME	STUDENT	CREDIT	BUY COMPUTER
Youth	High	No	Fair	No
Youth	High	No	Excellent	No
Middle Age	High	No	Fair	Yes
Senior	Medium	No	Fair	Yes
Senior	Low	Yes	Fair	Yes
Senior	Low	Yes	Excellent	No
Middle Age	Low	Yes	Excellent	Yes
Youth	Medium	No	Fair	No
Youth	Low	Yes	Fair	Yes
Senior	Medium	Yes	Fair	Yes
Youth	Medium	Yes	Excellent	Yes
Middle Age	Medium	No	Excellent	Yes
Middle Age	High	Yes	Fair	Yes
Senior	Medium	No	Excellent	No

We are given a table that contains a dataset about age, income, student, credit-rating, buying a computer, and their respective features. From the above dataset, we need to find whether a youth student with medium income having a fair credit rating buys a computer or not.

I.e. B = (Youth, Medium, Yes, Fair)

In the above dataset, we can apply the Bayesian theorem. 

Where, 

• A = ( Yes / No ) under buying computer
• B = ( Youth, Medium, Student, Fair)

So, P(A/B) means the probability of buying a computer given that conditions are “Youth age”, “Medium Income”, “Student”, and “fair credit-rating”. 

ASSUMPTION:

Before starting, we assume that all the given features are independent of each other.

Step 1: Calculate probabilities of buying a computer from above dataset

Buy Computer	Count	Probability
Yes	9	9/14
No	5	5/14
Total	14

Step 2: Calculate probabilities under Credit-rating buying a computer from the above dataset

Let’s understand how we calculated the above probabilities. From the table we can see that there are 8 fair credit ratings among which 6 buy computers and 2 don’t buy. Similarly, 6 have excellent credit ratings among which 3 buy computers and 3 don’t. As a whole 9 (6+3)  buy computers and 5 (2+5) don’t.

P(fair / Yes) means the probability of credit rating being fair when someone buys a computer. Hence, P(fair / Yes) = P( fair buying computer) / P ( total number of buying computer) i.e. 6/9.

Step 3: Calculate probabilities under Student buying a computer from the above dataset

Step 4: Calculate probabilities under Income level  buying a computer from the above dataset

P( High / Yes ) = 2/9       P( Mid / Yes ) = 4/9               P( Low / Yes ) = 3/9

P( High / No ) = 2/5        P( Mid / No ) = 2/5                 P( Low / No ) =  1/5

Step 5: Calculate probabilities under age level  buying a computer from the above dataset

P( Youth / Yes ) = 2/9       P( Mid / Yes ) = 4/9               P( Senior / Yes ) = 3/9

P( Youth / No ) = 3/5        P( Mid / No ) = 0                    P( Senior / No ) =  ⅖

CALCULATION

 We have,

 B = ( Youth, Medium, Student, Fair)

 P(Yes) * P(B / Yes )  = P(Yes) * P( Youth / Yes ) * P( Mid / Yes) * P( S Yes / Yes) * P( Fair / Yes)

                  = 9/14 * 2/9 * 4/9 * 6/9 * 6/9

                  = 0.02821

P(No) * P(B / No ) = P(No) * P( Youth / No ) * P( Mid / No) * P( S Yes / No) * P( Fair / No)

                 = 5/14 * 3/5 * 2/5 * 1/5 * 2/5

                 = 0.0068 

P( B ) = P (Youth) * P( Mid) * P(Student Yes) * P( Fair)

          =  5/14 * 6/14 * 7/14 * 8/14

          = 0.04373

Hence,

 P(Yes / B) = P(Yes) * P(B / Yes )  / P(B)

                  = 0.02821 / 0.04373

                  = 0.645

 P(No / B) = P(No) * P(B / No )  / P(B)

                  = 0.0068 / 0.04373

                  = 0.155

Here,  P(Yes / B) is greater than  P(No / B) i.e posterior Yes is greater than posterior No. So the class B ( Youth, Mid, yes, fair) buys a computer.

NAIVE BAYES FROM SCRATCH

Classify whether a given person is a male or a female based on the measured features. The features include height, weight, and foot size.

Now, defining a dataframe which consists if above provided data.

Creating another data frame containing the feature value of height as 6 feet, weight as 130 lbs and foot size as 8 inches. using Naive Bayes from scratch we are trying to find whether the gender is male or female.

Calculating the total number of males and females and their probabilities i.e priors:

Calculating mean and variance of male and female of the feature height, weight and foot size.

FORMULA

• posterior (male) = P(male)*P(height|male)*P(weight|male)*P(foot size|male) / evidence
• posterior (female) = P(female)*P(height|female)*P(weight|female)*P(foot size|female) / evidence
• Evidence = P(male)*P(height|male)*P(weight|male)*P(foot size|male) + P(female) * P(height|female) * P(weight|female)*P(foot size|female)

The evidence may be ignored since it is a positive constant. (Normal distributions are always positive.)

CALCULATION

Calculation of P(height | Male )

• mean of  the height of male = 5.855
• variance ( Square of S.D.)  of the height of a male is square of 3.5033e-02
• and x i.e. given height is 6 feet
• Substituting the values in the above equation we get  P(height | Male ) = 1.5789

Similarly,

• P(weight|male) = 5.9881e-06
• P(foot size|male) = 1.3112e-3
• P(height|female) = 2.2346e-1
• P(weight|female) = 1.6789e-2
• P(foot size|female) = 2.8669e-1

Posterior (male)*evidence = P(male)*P(height|male)*P(weight|male)*P(foot size|male) = 6.1984e-09

Posterior (female)*evidence = P(female)*P(height|female)*P(weight|female)*P(foot size|female)= 5.3778e-04

CONCLUSION

Since Posterior (female)*evidence > Posterior (male)*evidence, the sample is female.

NAIVE BAYES USING SCIKIT-LEARN

Though we have very small dataset, we are dividing the dataset into train and test do that it can be used in other model prediction. We are importing gnb() from sklearn and we are training the model with out dataset.

Now, our model is ready. Let’s use this model to predict on new data.

CONCLUSION

We have come to an end of Naive Bayes from Scratch. If you have any queries, feedback, or suggestions then you can leave a comment or mail us on itsaihub@gmail.com. We will see you in the next tutorial. Stay safe !! Happy Coding !!!